Newsmax posted an article on it's website Thursday entitled, "Gallup Analysis: Obama's Chance of a Loss Greater Than a Win." Newsmax states with an approval rating below 50%, a sour mood nationally, and Romney tying or trailing GOP rival Mitt Romney doesn't bode well for him in this fall's election. Gallup polls show that Obama's job approval rating during the first week of May averaged just 47% and a May 3-6 Gallup poll found only 24% of Americans were satisfied with the direction this country is heading. A poll in the battleground state of North Carolina finds that Mitt Romney leading the president and on the same day another poll showed Wisconsin is in a dead heat. President Obama won Wisconsin handily in 2008. With the economy growing sluggishly, it has helped president Obama. Even though I don't have any polling to back what I'm about ready to say, I feel that President Obama's announcement that he supports gay marriage didn't help him. Why do I say that? Do most Americans oppose gay marriage? I'm sure a great percentage of Americans do. However, I believe many Americans feel President Obama should be focusing more on the economy and families with children than concern himself with the homosexual agenda. I do stand by that. Many families that are concerned about the economy are worried about the future of their children and are worried what their children will face when they become adults and search for a job in the future.
Rasmussen Reports in its polling earlier this week that Mitt Romney has a sliver of a lead over the president as well. Rasmussen has very accurate polling and they were on target in their polling during the 2008 presidential election. I need to caution conservative voters to not become over-optimistic. The election is now less than six months away but many factors can play a role to change the outcome of the election. First of all, is Mitt Romney going to speak like he's prepared for the job? Is he going to speak out on the issues that the average media won't speak about such as the need to build a border fence and the need for the U.S. to unhook from the Federal Reserve? Mitt Romney has been know for waffling on issues. He doesn't appeal to many evangelical conservatives because he's a Mormon, for one thing. Another problem is he set in place Romneycare in Massachusetts as governor, which is healthcare on a similar scale to Obamacare. He's going to have a difficult time convincing conservative voters that he will muster his efforts to repeal Obamacare. The biggest concern I have is a third-party candidate, in the form of a Donald Trump, challenging the presidential ticket. If a third-party candidate emerges that says the things that ring a bell with the average voter, then that will more than likely split the Republican vote which will in effect given Obama a second term as president. I hope that doesn't happen but don't be too sure. There's still plenty of time for a third-party candidate to emerge to disturb this year's presidential ticket. We need to be cautious and do everything within our power as voters to send the message that President Obama needs to be defeated this November. The only way that will happen is for voters to pull the lever for Obama's rival Romney. That's the only way Obama will be defeated in November.
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